Some new technologies take on a life of their own, changing society in ways unanticipated, sometimes unwanted. But wae can make choices
The United States has more or less achieved universal,
affordable access to private automobiles, with some profoundly
positive—and profoundly negative—results. Automobiles have supported
personal mobility and freedom, as well as the expansion of vast
industries. But the proliferation of cars and trucks forces us to
endure daily traffic jams, air pollution, the ill effects of suburban
sprawl, tens of thousands of annual road fatalities, and dependence on
nonrenewable and insecure sources of imported oil. In the process, we
have created a society in which owning an automobile and driving
upwards of 10,000 miles per year has become, for most Americans, not at
all a voluntary option.
If we now have second
thoughts about how our society achieved universal access to the
automobile, there are sound reasons to suspect that we will feel every
bit as ambivalent about the commercially driven approach through which
we are pursuing universal Internet access.
On the
other hand, a technology's contradictory social consequences need not
be swallowed whole. Wise policies governing the design and use of a
technology can encourage its benign effects and lessen the deleterious
ones. Unwise policies can do the opposite.
In 1956,
no popular clamor for building a new road system pressured Congress to
pass the Interstate Highway Act. Only about half of American families
owned a car; everyone else depended on public transportation. Auto
makers, road builders, and realtors who saw profits in developing
suburban subdivisions, however, all lobbied Congress aggressively. In
response, lawmakers created the Highway Trust Fund, earmarking taxes
from gasoline sales for highway construction. Public transit systems,
unable to compete with subsidized automobiles, rapidly atrophied. Soon
more Americans were forced to buy a car to shop or to hold a job. So
the tremendous social transformation that followed hinged upon the
political muscle of powerful business interests and external
compulsion—not simply the free choices of consumers and certainly not
any inexorable internal logic of technological development.
Western
European nations, in contrast, opted for different public policies
governing transportation systems. The results include networks of
bicycle lanes and public transit systems that are comparatively
comfortable, extensive, and easy to use.
The cybernetic Wal-Mart effect In
this context, the Internet's future development— including the extent
to which it is driven by commercial versus civic imperatives—poses a
political issue that may prove at least as defining for our social
future as did the politics of automobile use. Among the first
casualties might be local economies, by which I mean local capacities
to produce enough goods and services to meet a fair share of local
needs.
Imagine what happens when a Wal-Mart store
opens on the outskirts of a town. Suppose that half the residents start
to do one-third of their shopping at Wal-Mart. That means they still do
two-thirds of their shopping downtown, while the remaining half of the
population does all its shopping downtown. Thus everyone wants downtown
to remain vibrant. However, if half the people do a third of their
shopping at Wal-Mart, you've extracted about 16.7 percent of the
revenue from the downtown and neighborhood economy. If profit margins
aren't high, that's enough to start shutting down the downtown. Here we
have a perverse market dynamic—a loss to the entire community that not
a single person wanted. And it is a coercive, self-reinforcing dynamic.
Once the downtown starts to shut down, people who preferred to shop
there must now switch to Wal-Mart by default.
In
our lifetimes, Wal-Mart has become a symbol for the malling of America,
which has wiped out many individual mom-and-pop retail stores. I'm
concerned that the Internet will extend this trend via a Cybernetic
Wal-Mart Effect. Online, you're not just competing with Wal-Mart.
You're competing with the full global marketplace. Moreover, Wal-Marts
basically threaten mom-and-pop retail shops. But online commerce can
spread out into every sector of the economy, including local
manufacturers, business suppliers, and even service providers, such as
travel agents, accountants, insurers, stockbrokers, and lawyers.
Serfing the net Assuredly,
some local businesses will thrive and grow by going online themselves.
But the advertising economies of scale in attracting customers to a
select number of hot Web sites suggest that before long the global
economy will consolidate into a smaller number of prominent, large,
very un-local enterprises. As Lisa Allen of Forrester Research
explained recently in The New York Times: “It's not a pretty picture
for local merchants right now. ... National players have the deep
pockets to create [web]sites with the best user experience and market
them. And the mom-and-pops don't have that.”
The antidemocratic implications of the Cybernetic Wal-Mart Effect reach even further. Eviscerating a local
economy weakens local cultural and community vibrancy. That's bad in
its own right. But it's also bad for democracy, because as social bonds
weaken, people relinquish mutual understanding and the capacity for
collective action. Those are essential foundations of a workable
democracy.
The destruction of local economies
further translates into greater local dependence on national and global
market forces and on distant corporate headquarters—powers that
communities can't control. The locus of effective political
intervention thus shifts toward more distant power centers. Everyday
citizens can't be as effective in these distant centers as in smaller
political settings, so democracy is further impaired.
Businesses,
moreover, are using computer networks to consolidate high-level
managerial control over their expanding global operations. As a result,
corporations are becoming ever more empowered relative to individual
workers, trade unions, and even national governments. As a cover story
in Business Week boasted some years ago, new “stateless”
megacorporations are “leaping boundaries” to intimidate labor unions,
elude domestic political opposition, threaten meddling government
officials with plant closure and capital flight, and “sidestep
regulatory hurdles.”
In addition, the volume and
speed of electronic transfers in the global financial system heightens
the threat of capital flight. In The Rise of the Network Society,
Manuel Castells vividly describes how global electronic networks both
alter and deepen the politically coercive implications inherent in this
threat:
“A global economy is a historically new
reality ... it is an economy with the capacity to work as a unit in
real time on a planetary scale. ... Capital flows become at the same
time global and increasingly autonomous vis-à-vis the actual
performance of economies.”
Here is an entirely new
twist to the issue of capital flight, transforming financial
instabilities that were formerly localized and episodic into the
chronic condition of the entire world economy. With capital soaring
aloft in perpetual global motion, national governments that formerly
feared capital “flight” must now additionally compete for transitory
capital “alight.” This severely constrains what elected leaders dare
say and do, further compromising the democratic process for determining
national policies.
Cybervisionaries such as
Microsoft chairman Bill Gates have waxed ecstatic in describing the
coming wonders of Internet-enabled “friction-free capitalism.” In The
Road Ahead, Gates writes: “We'll find ourselves in a new world of
low-friction, low-overhead capitalism, in which market information will
be plentiful and transaction costs low. It will be a shopper's heaven.”
In Gates' view, capitalism will become low-friction when market information is “plentiful.” But early indications
are that the kind of information that is becoming available, and its
distribution, both reflect biases of social power and wealth.
Businesses are electronically assembling statistical profiles on the
performance of individual employees and personal consumer habits as
never before. In contrast, worker and citizen abilities to penetrate
the veils of corporate managerial secrecy and proprietary information
are not remotely keeping pace. Corporations and financial institutions
can snoop into your life in ways that you most definitely cannot snoop
back.
The implications for open and informed
democratic deliberation are not cheering. The proprietary nature of
corporate strategic planning decisions puts governments, workers, and
citizens several years behind businesses in terms of access to
information about impending, socially consequential innovations.
Businesses can use their inside information to devise and deploy
technological or social faits accomplis or to lobby government long
before anyone else even knows what's afoot. This looks less like
friction-free capitalism and more like information-free politics—ironic
in a self-styled “Information Society.”
Economic historian Karl Polanyi, in his 1944 classic, The Great Transformation,
showed how the subjection of human labor to unregulated market
imperatives produced horrendous social and economic hardship during the
centuries in which Britain became an industrial powerhouse.
“To
allow the market mechanism to be sole director of the fate of human
beings and their natural environment ... would result in the demolition
of society,” Polanyi wrote. “Robbed of the protective covering of
cultural institutions, human beings would perish from the effects of
social exposure. ... Nature would be reduced to its elements,
neighborhoods and landscapes defiled. ... [N]o society could stand the
effects of such a system.”
On being no place at once Meanwhile,
an ever-more compulsory cybernetic life-style continues to accelerate
life on the job and off, distract and fragment our moment-to-moment
existence, and alienate us from our immediate physical environment.
Some of us are already spread so thin among so many places that we
exist constantly in an emotional state of “being no place at once.” In
effect, attention deficit disorder is being upgraded from psychological
impairment to societal norm.
According to a
leading scholarly study of how Americans use their time, recent
stressful trends of this sort mean that “many Americans never
experience anything fully, never live in the moment.” That could
cripple our capacity for committed personal relationships, as well as
our willingness to act personally and politically to protect the
environment. It's also likely to challenge our patience with the
necessarily slow pace of democratic deliberation, to reduce our
experience of meaning in daily life, and to impair our moral
development and discourage our personal participation in civic affairs.
From an Eastern perspective, being no place at once is antithetical to the here–and–now, single–pointed attention
and subtle awareness that Buddhists, for example, consider essential to
clear vision, compassionate knowing, human emancipation, and
enlightenment. From a Western perspective, it offers a final example of
how far removed a society is from the classical democratic ideals of
Jean–Jacques Rousseau, Thomas Jefferson, John Stuart Mill, and John
Dewey if it is ruled by a hyper-commercialized Internet. Independent
moral judgment, civic obligation, democratic deliberation,
self-government, and the common good atrophy. In their place, we find
compulsion, power asymmetry, friction-free capitalism, and the
commodification of just about everything.
Capturing benefits, limiting harm While
US policies toward science and technology remain mired in the past,
other countries are racing ahead to make science and technology within
their borders more socially responsive.
Nonscientists
make up a majority of the Swedish government's Council for Planning and
Coordination of Research, which is noted for promoting innovative
programs of interdisciplinary research.
Japan
and European nations such as Germany have pioneered processes that
foster collaboration between industrial engineers, university
scientists, workers, and end–users in developing new technologies.
For
a decade, the Danish government has appointed panels of everyday
citizens to cross–examine a range of experts and other interested
parties—such as representatives of industry, labor, and consumer
groups—and then to deliberate on what they've heard and announce
nonbinding recommendations for science and technology policy at a
national press conference. For example, a 1989 Danish citizens' panel
on the social implications of the Human Genome Project endorsed the
experts' support for basic genetic research but called for more
research on the interplay between environmental factors and genetic
inheritance, and on the social consequences of science. It also
influenced the Danish Parliament to prohibit the use of information
from genetic tests in employment and insurance decisions.
The
Danes' carefully structured participatory process is already being
emulated in other countries, including France, the Netherlands, Norway,
Switzerland, the United Kingdom, Canada, Israel, Japan, Australia, and
New Zealand. A pilot demonstration of the process took place in the
greater Boston area in April 1997 on the topic of telecommunications
and the future of democracy.
When a broad range of
citizens participates in making decisions about science and technology,
the public is more likely to accept those decisions. For example, after
the Danish government sponsored several citizens' panels and hundreds
of local debates on biotechnology, a study by the European Commission
in 1991 found that more Danes understood and supported their national
biotechnology policies than citizens of other European countries.
Industry also can benefit when the public participates, by learning
about and being able to address popular objections early in the process
of developing new products.
In the United States,
various federal agencies have set up small programs to support
collaborations between university researchers and community groups. For
example, the Childhood Cancer Research Institute, affiliated with Clark
University, has received funds from several federal agencies, including
the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences. The cancer
research institute has used those grants to work with several Native
American tribes to study the health effects of exposure to nuclear
radiation.
A recent study by the nonprofit Loka
Institute estimates that for less than 0.25 percent of the total US
expenditure, both public and private, on research and development, the
United States could expand such small programs into a decentralized
national network of community-research centers.
Current
US policy irrationally encourages a Cybernetic Wal-Mart Effect by
exempting most out-of-state purchases from state and local sales tax. A
tax on e-commerce would hold it in balance with local economies—and
thus limit the erosion of civic vitality and democratic
self-governance. Some of the revenue could, in turn, be rebated to
localities to invest in rejuvenating local economies and civic life.
A
prohibition or tax on third-party advertising on the Internet would be
a straightforward way to roll back commercialization and preserve
habitat for citizenship. It sounds unthinkable, until you remember that
only six or seven years ago it was the idea of commercial advertising
on the Internet that was unthinkable.
Deliberative
citizens' panels on science and technology policy, lay participation in
the design of new technologies, community-based research, and
protection against hyper-commercialization of the Internet exemplify
the type of creative changes we need. So yes, it is technically,
economically, and socially possible to develop and use information
technologies in humane, just, wise, and democratic ways. But it's also
politically improbable right now, given the cyber-enthrallment of the
moment, the nation's lingering infatuation with laissez-faire
economics, and the self-serving, pro-Internet bias of the commercial
media. All in all, politicians have never been under such pressure to
make sure technology policies back corporate visions—and so little
pressured to attend to the democratic or social repercussions.
That's
not a lot of ground for immediate optimism. On the other hand, the
collapse of the dot.com stock market bubble opens some political
opportunity to press for sensible policies for guiding Internet
development. Moreover, there are important fallback steps that citizen
groups and localities can take now to reduce, and one day reverse,
Internet-induced social and civic harm.
Wise
communities will act now to bolster their local economies against the
Internet's encroachment. For example, one can counterpose community
networking, neighborhood telecommuting-and-civic centers, and
responsible voluntary Internet uses versus coerced uses and the export
of scarce local dollars to far-flung cybershops. Or counterpose
child-centric versus computer-centric school curricula.
Above
all, communities must decide which aspects of face-to-face, place-based
life they most treasure and then make vigorous efforts to enhance and
protect them from the predatory ravages of an impending, rampantly
over-commercialized Internet and over-wired world. The practical beauty
of seeking greater local economic self-reliance is that any county,
city, or neighborhood can pursue it and no permission is necessary from
state or national governments.
In the long term,
history provides reason for hope. Consider Copenhagen. Denmark
initially overdosed on automobiles in much the same way as the United
States. Photographs of downtown Copenhagen in the early 1960s show all
the old-time plazas converted into open air parking lots, all the
streets choked with traffic. But the Danes came to their senses and
gradually began taking their streets and plazas back from the car.
Today Copenhagen—and every city and town in Denmark—has a car-free
downtown pedestrian area.
There's a lesson here.
We human beings do sometimes get carried away with our technical
virtuosity. But we can be just as socially creative in correcting our
errors—when we're ready. In the case of the Internet, the sooner, the
better.
Richard Sclove, Richard@Sclove.org, recently retired from the nonprofit Loka Institute, www.loka.org, which he founded in 1987. He is the author ofDemocracy and Technology, NY: Guilford Press.
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